UFC matchup prediction
Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo prediction, odds and fight preview
FightAlpha's value read is Deiveson Figueiredo at the tested odds snapshot. The read is about price versus matchup profile, not certainty.
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Quick summary
Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo pick, odds and event context
UFC Fight Night: Song vs Figueiredo • Galaxy Arena, Macao
Value at the tested price; not a guaranteed winner.
Market snapshot used for this page.
Compare against your available line.
Fighter comparison
Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo: key matchup signals
Green cells mark the stronger side for each measurable stat. Lower is better for strikes absorbed and age; higher is better for output, wrestling volume, defense, and reach.
| Signal | Song Yadong | Deiveson Figueiredo |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 22-9-1 | 25-6-1 |
| Recent form | W-L-W-L-W | L-L-W-L-L |
| Style | Boxing / Orthodox | Boxing / Orthodox |
| Strikes landed/min | 4.42 | 2.63 |
| Strikes absorbed/min | 3.94 | 3.47 |
| Takedown avg | 0.78 | 1.61 |
| Takedown defense | 73% | 57% |
| Age | 28 | 38 |
| Height | 5'8" / 172.7 cm | 5'5" / 165.1 cm |
| Reach | 67" / 170.2 cm | 68" / 172.7 cm |
| Weight | 135 lb / 61.2 kg | 135 lb / 61.2 kg |
Deeper matchup context
Recent form, damage, activity and schedule notes
A few extra signals to help you read the matchup beyond the headline stats: who has been active, who has been taking damage, and whether recent results came against a tougher or softer slate.
Both come in with usable recent UFC context rather than a clean one-sided form edge. Song is still the younger, higher-output bantamweight, but Figueiredo's veteran sample includes enough top-level rounds that the raw age gap should not be priced too aggressively by itself.
The activity clock is basically even: both are 113 days removed from their last fight. That keeps the read focused on price and style rather than obvious rust or quick-turnaround concerns.
Figueiredo has the slightly cleaner recent significant strikes absorbed profile, 205 vs 253 for Song. The head strikes absorbed gap is tiny — 29.85 vs 30.67 — so this is not a durability mismatch, but it does stop the underdog case from looking reckless.
Song brings more listed striking volume at 4.42 significant strikes landed per minute, while Figueiredo carries the stronger grappling-pressure marker at 1.61 takedowns per fight. That split is exactly why the price matters: Song may win minutes, but Figueiredo has ways to change the fight.
Figueiredo appears to have faced the tougher recent schedule. That matters at +400-style pricing because a veteran underdog can look worse in form tables when the opponent quality has been heavier.
Value read
Why FightAlpha leans Deiveson Figueiredo
FightAlpha looks for prices that appear better than the matchup profile suggests. That can mean backing a fighter near even money, taking an underdog, or passing when the number is wrong.
FightAlpha leans Deiveson Figueiredo at 5.00 because the number leaves room for his grappling layer, tougher schedule context, and still-competitive absorption profile to matter. Song is rightly respected, but the tested price makes the underdog more interesting than the market implies.
This is not a call that Figueiredo is safer or fresher. It is a value read: if his wrestling threats and veteran round management show up often enough, the +400-style number is too wide.
FAQ
Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo prediction FAQ
Quick answers before using any matchup read responsibly.
Who is FightAlpha picking for Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo?
FightAlpha's public value read is Deiveson Figueiredo at the tested odds snapshot. This is not a guarantee or betting instruction.
What odds were used for Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo?
The tested odds snapshot is Song Yadong 1.17 / -588 and Deiveson Figueiredo 5.40 / +440. Lines move, so always compare with your own available price.
Why are FightAlpha matchup explanations data-first?
The model reads are built from data inputs, so the explanations stay grounded in measurable fight signals too. FightAlpha does not base picks on rumors, hype, sentiment, or personal feelings.
Are FightAlpha UFC predictions guaranteed?
No. MMA outcomes are uncertain and betting carries risk. Public reads can lose, and FightAlpha does not guarantee profit.