UFC matchup prediction
Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio prediction, odds and fight preview
FightAlpha's value read is Roman Kopylov at the tested odds snapshot. The read is about price versus matchup profile, not certainty.
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Quick summary
Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio pick, odds and event context
UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland • Prudential Center, Newark, United States
Value at the tested price; not a guaranteed winner.
Market snapshot used for this page.
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Fighter comparison
Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio: key matchup signals
Green cells mark the stronger side for each measurable stat. Lower is better for strikes absorbed and age; higher is better for output, wrestling volume, defense, and reach.
| Signal | Roman Kopylov | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 14-5 | 14-2 |
| Recent form | L-L-W-W-L | L-W-W |
| Style | Boxing / Southpaw | Boxing / Orthodox |
| Strikes landed/min | 4.59 | 6.69 |
| Strikes absorbed/min | 5.18 | 2.58 |
| Takedown avg | 1.14 | 1.42 |
| Takedown defense | 88% | 0% |
| Age | 34 | 31 |
| Height | 6'0" / 182.9 cm | 6'0" / 182.9 cm |
| Reach | 75" / 190.5 cm | 74" / 188 cm |
| Weight | 185 lb / 83.9 kg | 185 lb / 83.9 kg |
Deeper matchup context
Recent form, damage, activity and schedule notes
A few extra signals to help you read the matchup beyond the headline stats: who has been active, who has been taking damage, and whether recent results came against a tougher or softer slate.
Recent results: Roman Kopylov is 2-3 over the recent sample; Marco Tulio is 2-1 over the recent sample. Roman Kopylov comes in on a 2-fight losing streak. Marco Tulio comes in on a 1-fight losing streak.
Time since last fight: Roman Kopylov 163 days; Marco Tulio 170 days. A quick turnaround can mean sharpness or accumulated wear, while a longer break can mean rest or rust.
Marco Tulio has the cleaner recent significant strikes absorbed profile (46 vs 331 for Roman Kopylov). Marco Tulio has the cleaner head strikes absorbed profile (7.67 vs 37.64 for Roman Kopylov).
Neither fighter has a clear pressure-profile edge, so the fight may come down more to execution than one obvious style lever.
Roman Kopylov appears to have faced the tougher recent schedule, while Marco Tulio's results may need a little more context. A tougher schedule can make recent losses look less alarming; a softer one can make streaks look cleaner than they really are.
Value read
Why FightAlpha leans Roman Kopylov
FightAlpha looks for prices that appear better than the matchup profile suggests. Value read does not mean most likely winner. It means the tested price looks better than the matchup profile suggests.
The value argument for Roman Kopylov is price-sensitive: the better takedown-defense number (88% versus 0%). At this number, FightAlpha is paying for live paths rather than asking Roman Kopylov to own the cleaner overall profile.
The number is doing real work here. Marco Tulio's higher takedown volume and Marco Tulio's busier listed striking pace can still flip the read, but the underdog price gives Roman Kopylov enough room for those risks.
FAQ
Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio prediction FAQ
Quick answers before using any matchup read responsibly.
Who is FightAlpha picking for Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio?
FightAlpha's public value read is Roman Kopylov at the tested odds snapshot. This is not a guarantee or betting instruction.
What odds were used for Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio?
The tested odds snapshot is Roman Kopylov 2.70 / +170 and Marco Tulio 1.48 / -208. Lines move, so always compare with your own available price.
Why are FightAlpha matchup explanations data-first?
The model reads are built from data inputs, so the explanations stay grounded in measurable fight signals too. FightAlpha does not base picks on rumors, hype, sentiment, or personal feelings.
Are FightAlpha UFC predictions guaranteed?
No. MMA outcomes are uncertain and betting carries risk. Public reads can lose, and FightAlpha does not guarantee profit.