UFC matchup prediction
Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis prediction, odds and fight preview
FightAlpha's pass read is PASS · No edge at the tested odds snapshot. No edge means the tested price does not create enough value for a public bet.
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Quick summary
Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis pick, odds and event context
UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland • Prudential Center, Newark, United States
No edge means the tested price does not create enough value for a public bet.
Market snapshot used for this page.
Compare against your available line.
Fighter comparison
Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis: key matchup signals
Green cells mark the stronger side for each measurable stat. Lower is better for strikes absorbed and age; higher is better for output, wrestling volume, defense, and reach.
| Signal | Pat Sabatini | William Gomis |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 21-5 | 15-3 |
| Recent form | W-W-W-L-W | W-L-W-W-W |
| Style | Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu / Orthodox | Wrestling / Southpaw |
| Strikes landed/min | 1.69 | 3.48 |
| Strikes absorbed/min | 1.09 | 2.76 |
| Takedown avg | 4.48 | 0.86 |
| Takedown defense | 50% | 72% |
| Age | 35 | 28 |
| Height | 5'8" / 172.7 cm | 6'0" / 182.9 cm |
| Reach | 70" / 177.8 cm | 73" / 185.4 cm |
| Weight | 145 lb / 65.8 kg | 145 lb / 65.8 kg |
Deeper matchup context
Recent form, damage, activity and schedule notes
A few extra signals to help you read the matchup beyond the headline stats: who has been active, who has been taking damage, and whether recent results came against a tougher or softer slate.
Recent results: Pat Sabatini is 4-1 over the recent sample; William Gomis is 4-1 over the recent sample. Pat Sabatini comes in on a 3-fight winning streak. William Gomis comes in on a 1-fight winning streak.
Time since last fight: Pat Sabatini 163 days; William Gomis 233 days. A quick turnaround can mean sharpness or accumulated wear, while a longer break can mean rest or rust.
Pat Sabatini has the cleaner recent significant strikes absorbed profile (12 vs 178 for William Gomis). Pat Sabatini has the cleaner head strikes absorbed profile (5.3 vs 17.17 for William Gomis).
Pat Sabatini projects as the fighter more likely to push grappling pressure, which can change how much of the fight plays out at range.
William Gomis appears to have faced the tougher recent schedule, while Pat Sabatini's results may need a little more context. A tougher schedule can make recent losses look less alarming; a softer one can make streaks look cleaner than they really are.
Pass read
Why FightAlpha passes
FightAlpha can still show useful context, but it will not force a pick when the available data is too thin or the price does not create a clear edge.
FightAlpha is passing because the tested price does not create a clean enough value edge from the available matchup profile.
That does not mean either fighter cannot win; it means the number and matchup signals do not justify a public value side here.
FAQ
Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis prediction FAQ
Quick answers before using any matchup read responsibly.
Who is FightAlpha picking for Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis?
No edge means the tested price does not create enough value for a public bet.
What odds were used for Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis?
The tested odds snapshot is Pat Sabatini 1.45 / -222 and William Gomis 2.75 / +175. Lines move, so always compare with your own available price.
Why are FightAlpha matchup explanations data-first?
The model reads are built from data inputs, so the explanations stay grounded in measurable fight signals too. FightAlpha does not base picks on rumors, hype, sentiment, or personal feelings.
Are FightAlpha UFC predictions guaranteed?
No. MMA outcomes are uncertain and betting carries risk. Public reads can lose, and FightAlpha does not guarantee profit.