UFC matchup prediction
Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain prediction, odds and fight preview
FightAlpha's value read is Kyler Phillips at the tested odds snapshot. The read is about price versus matchup profile, not certainty.
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Quick summary
Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain pick, odds and event context
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Malott • Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, Canada
Value at the tested price; not a guaranteed winner.
Market snapshot used for this page.
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Fighter comparison
Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain: key matchup signals
Green cells mark the stronger side for each measurable stat. Lower is better for strikes absorbed and age; higher is better for output, wrestling volume, defense, and reach.
| Signal | Kyler Phillips | Charles Jourdain |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 12-5 | 18-8-1 |
| Recent form | L-L-L-W-W | W-W-W-L-L |
| Style | Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu | Kickboxing / Striker |
| Strikes landed/min | 4.75 | 5.36 |
| Strikes absorbed/min | 3.83 | 4.11 |
| Takedown avg | 2.82 | 0.38 |
| Takedown defense | 75% | 46% |
| Age | N/A | N/A |
| Height | 5'8" / 172.7 cm | 5'9" / 175.3 cm |
| Reach | 72" / 182.9 cm | 69" / 175.3 cm |
| Weight | 135 lb / 61.2 kg | 135 lb / 61.2 kg |
Deeper matchup context
Recent form, damage, activity and schedule notes
A few extra signals to help you read the matchup beyond the headline stats: who has been active, who has been taking damage, and whether recent results came against a tougher or softer slate.
Recent results: Kyler Phillips is 2-3 over the recent sample; Charles Jourdain is 3-2 over the recent sample. Kyler Phillips comes in on a 3-fight losing streak. Charles Jourdain comes in on a 3-fight winning streak.
Time since last fight: Kyler Phillips 9 days; Charles Jourdain 9 days. A quick turnaround can mean sharpness or accumulated wear, while a longer break can mean rest or rust.
Charles Jourdain has the cleaner recent significant strikes absorbed profile (67 vs 209 for Kyler Phillips). Charles Jourdain has the cleaner head strikes absorbed profile (28.38 vs 31 for Kyler Phillips).
Kyler Phillips projects as the fighter more likely to push grappling pressure, which can change how much of the fight plays out at range.
Kyler Phillips appears to have faced the tougher recent schedule, while Charles Jourdain's results may need a little more context. A tougher schedule can make recent losses look less alarming; a softer one can make streaks look cleaner than they really are.
Value read
Why FightAlpha leans Kyler Phillips
FightAlpha looks for prices that appear better than the matchup profile suggests. Value read does not mean most likely winner. It means the tested price looks better than the matchup profile suggests.
The lean toward Kyler Phillips is built from a cluster of small edges: a clearer takedown-volume edge (2.82 per fight versus 0.38), the better takedown-defense number (75% versus 46%), and a cleaner listed significant-strike absorption profile. None of those signals settles the fight by itself, but together they make the tested price playable.
This is still thin enough to respect the other side. Charles Jourdain's busier listed striking pace keeps Charles Jourdain live, which is why this stays a value read rather than a comfort pick.
FAQ
Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain prediction FAQ
Quick answers before using any matchup read responsibly.
Who is FightAlpha picking for Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain?
FightAlpha's public value read is Kyler Phillips at the tested odds snapshot. This is not a guarantee or betting instruction.
What odds were used for Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain?
The tested odds snapshot is Kyler Phillips N/A / N/A and Charles Jourdain N/A / N/A. Lines move, so always compare with your own available price.
Why are FightAlpha matchup explanations data-first?
The model reads are built from data inputs, so the explanations stay grounded in measurable fight signals too. FightAlpha does not base picks on rumors, hype, sentiment, or personal feelings.
Are FightAlpha UFC predictions guaranteed?
No. MMA outcomes are uncertain and betting carries risk. Public reads can lose, and FightAlpha does not guarantee profit.