UFC predictions, odds and model picks
Main event
Settled Fight Alpha bets outcome: 6-4-2D on 12 bets, +$34.16 profit, 34.2% ROI on a $100 card.
Follow local laws and never bet where gambling is restricted or illegal.
FightAlpha reads and unit suggestions are informational only. Profit is never guaranteed.
A PASS or no-edge label is part of the system when the odds or data do not justify a bet.
Event hub
This event hub tracks FightAlpha model picks, tested odds, pass/no-edge calls, and full-card betting notes for every published matchup.
UFC odds and model picks
This event hub summarizes the full fight card with tested odds context, FightAlpha value/pass signals, and matchup links before the detailed breakdowns.
| # | Matchup | Odds context | FightAlpha read | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott | 4.00 | Gilbert Burns | |
| 2 | Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain | 2.42 | Kyler Phillips | |
| 3 | Mandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert | 2.60 | Jai Herbert | |
| 4 | Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva | 1.40 | PASS / no edge | |
| 5 | Thiago Moises vs Gauge Young | 2.11 | Gauge Young | |
| 6 | Dennis Buzukja vs Marcio Barbosa | 3.10 | Dennis Buzukja | |
| 7 | Julien Leblanc vs Robert Valentin | 3.10 | Robert Valentin | |
| 8 | Tanner Boser vs Gokhan Saricam | 2.70 | Tanner Boser | |
| 9 | Melissa Croden vs Darya Zheleznyakova | 1.67 | Melissa Croden | |
| 10 | JJ Aldrich vs Jamey-Lyn Horth | 3.50 | JJ Aldrich | |
| 11 | Mitch Raposo vs Allan Nascimento | 3.50 | Mitch Raposo | |
| 12 | John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin | 2.15 | John Castaneda | |
| 13 | Jamie Siraj vs Johnn Yannis | 3.10 | Johnn Yannis |
Model picks methodology
The goal is not to predict every winner. The goal is to separate playable prices from passes before the card starts.
Each fight is reviewed through fighter history, style signals, recent performance, and red/blue corner context.
A fighter can be likely to win and still be a bad bet if the available price is too short.
Insufficient data, new fighters, cancelled bouts, or prices without enough edge are labelled as PASS/no edge instead of forced action.
FightAlpha is meant to be judged across cards through wins, losses, passes, odds, and staking discipline.
Full card picks
Review every matchup with fighter context, tested odds, public value/pass signals, model-pick discipline, and key stats in one place.
Gilbert Burns
22-10
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu · Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Mike Malott
14-2-1
Kyler Phillips
12-5
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Kickboxing · Striker
Charles Jourdain
18-8-1
Mandel Nallo
14-4
Kickboxing vs Mixed Martial Arts · MMA
Jai Herbert
14-6-1
Jasmine Jasudavicius
15-4
Brawler · Brawler vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Karine Silva
19-7
Thiago Moises
19-10
Mixed Martial Arts vs Mixed Martial Arts · MMA
Gauge Young
11-3
Dennis Buzukja
12-6
Mixed Martial Arts · MMA vs Boxing
Marcio Barbosa
18-2
Julien Leblanc
10-3
Mixed Martial Arts vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Robert Valentin
12-6
Tanner Boser
22-11-1
Karate vs Boxing · Boxing
Gokhan Saricam
12-2
Melissa Croden
8-3
Wrestling vs Unknown
Darya Zheleznyakova
N/A
JJ Aldrich
15-7
Kickboxing · Striker vs Kickboxing · Kickboxer
Jamey-Lyn Horth
9-3
Mitch Raposo
10-3
Wrestling vs Kickboxing · Striker
Allan Nascimento
22-6
John Castaneda
21-8-1
Kickboxing vs Wrestling
Mark Vologdin
12-4-2
Jamie Siraj
14-4
Mixed Martial Arts vs Unknown
Johnn Yannis
N/A
More UFC pages
Compare upcoming previews and historical ledgers across tracked UFC cards.
Allen vs Costa • 2026-05-16
Open event pageChimaev vs Strickland • 2026-05-09
Open event pageDella Maddalena vs Prates • 2026-05-02
Open event pageSterling vs Zalal
Open event pageEvent FAQ
Use this page as a structured preview, not a guarantee. MMA betting is risky and passes are expected.
FightAlpha publishes a full-card event hub with model picks, pass/no-edge calls, tested odds context, and fight-by-fight betting notes for the tracked matchups.
The odds table summarizes the tested odds context used for each matchup where available, followed by deeper fight-card sections.
Yes. Each event page covers the tracked card, including public picks or passes and registered allocation context where available.
FightAlpha uses model-driven probability, odds, matchup context, and pass/no-edge discipline. The page is informational and not a guarantee.
A pass means the tested odds, matchup uncertainty, or available data do not justify a published bet.
Only use FightAlpha if you are an adult in a legal betting jurisdiction. Never chase losses, never risk money you cannot afford to lose, and treat every pick as uncertain.