UFC matchup prediction
Kody Steele vs Dom Mar Fan prediction, odds and fight preview
FightAlpha's value read is Dom Mar Fan at the tested odds snapshot. The read is about price versus matchup profile, not certainty.
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Quick summary
Kody Steele vs Dom Mar Fan pick, odds and event context
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs Prates • RAC Arena, Perth, Australia
Value at the tested price; not a guaranteed winner.
Market snapshot used for this page.
Compare against your available line.
Fighter comparison
Kody Steele vs Dom Mar Fan: key matchup signals
Green cells mark the stronger side for each measurable stat. Lower is better for strikes absorbed and age; higher is better for output, wrestling volume, defense, and reach.
| Signal | Kody Steele | Dom Mar Fan |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-1 | 9-2 |
| Recent form | L | W |
| Style | Kickboxing | Mixed Martial Arts / MMA |
| Strikes landed/min | 4.44 | 3.71 |
| Strikes absorbed/min | 7.17 | 2.49 |
| Takedown avg | 0.62 | 2 |
| Takedown defense | 100% | 66% |
| Age | 31 | 26 |
| Height | 5'9" / 175.3 cm | 5'11" / 180.3 cm |
| Reach | 71" / 180.3 cm | 75" / 190.5 cm |
| Weight | 155 lb / 70.3 kg | 155 lb / 70.3 kg |
Deeper matchup context
Recent form, damage, activity and schedule notes
A few extra signals to help you read the matchup beyond the headline stats: who has been active, who has been taking damage, and whether recent results came against a tougher or softer slate.
Recent results: Kody Steele is 0-1 over the recent sample; Dom Mar Fan is 1-0 over the recent sample. Kody Steele comes in on a 1-fight losing streak. Dom Mar Fan comes in on a 1-fight winning streak.
Time since last fight: Kody Steele 443 days (1.2 years); Dom Mar Fan 86 days. A quick turnaround can mean sharpness or accumulated wear, while a longer break can mean rest or rust.
Dom Mar Fan has the cleaner recent significant strikes absorbed profile (68 vs 125 for Kody Steele). Dom Mar Fan has the cleaner head strikes absorbed profile (37 vs 108 for Kody Steele).
Neither fighter has a clear pressure-profile edge, so the fight may come down more to execution than one obvious style lever.
Kody Steele appears to have faced the tougher recent schedule, while Dom Mar Fan's results may need a little more context. A tougher schedule can make recent losses look less alarming; a softer one can make streaks look cleaner than they really are.
Value read
Why FightAlpha leans Dom Mar Fan
FightAlpha looks for prices that appear better than the matchup profile suggests. Value read does not mean most likely winner. It means the tested price looks better than the matchup profile suggests.
FightAlpha leans Dom Mar Fan because the matchup shows a clearer takedown-volume edge (2 per fight versus 0.62), and a cleaner listed significant-strike absorption profile. It is a practical pricing read, not a claim that every major matchup signal points one way.
This is still thin enough to respect the other side. Kody Steele's better takedown defense and Kody Steele's busier listed striking pace keep Kody Steele live, which is why this stays a value read rather than a comfort pick.
FAQ
Kody Steele vs Dom Mar Fan prediction FAQ
Quick answers before using any matchup read responsibly.
Who is FightAlpha picking for Kody Steele vs Dom Mar Fan?
FightAlpha's public value read is Dom Mar Fan at the tested odds snapshot. This is not a guarantee or betting instruction.
What odds were used for Kody Steele vs Dom Mar Fan?
The tested odds snapshot is Kody Steele N/A / N/A and Dom Mar Fan N/A / N/A. Lines move, so always compare with your own available price.
Why are FightAlpha matchup explanations data-first?
The model reads are built from data inputs, so the explanations stay grounded in measurable fight signals too. FightAlpha does not base picks on rumors, hype, sentiment, or personal feelings.
Are FightAlpha UFC predictions guaranteed?
No. MMA outcomes are uncertain and betting carries risk. Public reads can lose, and FightAlpha does not guarantee profit.