UFC predictions, odds and model picks
Main event
Settled Fight Alpha bets outcome: 3-9 on 12 bets, -$65.29 profit, -65.3% ROI on a $100 card.
Follow local laws and never bet where gambling is restricted or illegal.
FightAlpha reads and unit suggestions are informational only. Profit is never guaranteed.
A PASS or no-edge label is part of the system when the odds or data do not justify a bet.
Event hub
This event hub tracks FightAlpha model picks, tested odds, pass/no-edge calls, and full-card betting notes for every published matchup.
UFC odds and model picks
This event hub summarizes the full fight card with tested odds context, FightAlpha value/pass signals, and matchup links before the detailed breakdowns.
| # | Matchup | Odds context | FightAlpha read | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates | 2.00 | Jack Della Maddalena | |
| 2 | Beneil Dariush vs Quillan Salkilld | 4.40 | Beneil Dariush | |
| 3 | Tai Tuivasa vs Louie Sutherland | 1.54 | Tai Tuivasa | |
| 4 | Tim Elliott vs Steve Erceg | 3.85 | Tim Elliott | |
| 5 | Cam Rowston vs Robert Bryczek | 1.48 | Cam Rowston | |
| 6 | Jacob Malkoun vs Gerald Meerschaert | 7.40 | Gerald Meerschaert | |
| 7 | Shamil Gaziev vs Brando Pericic | 2.00 | Shamil Gaziev | |
| 8 | Colby Thicknesse vs Vince Morales | 1.73 | Colby Thicknesse | |
| 9 | Junior Tafa vs Kevin Christian | 1.48 | Junior Tafa | |
| 10 | Jonathan Micallef vs Themba Gorimbo | 3.05 | Themba Gorimbo | |
| 11 | Wes Schultz vs Ben Johnston | 1.57 | Ben Johnston | |
| 12 | Kody Steele vs Dom Mar Fan | 2.65 | Dom Mar Fan |
Model picks methodology
The goal is not to predict every winner. The goal is to separate playable prices from passes before the card starts.
Each fight is reviewed through fighter history, style signals, recent performance, and red/blue corner context.
A fighter can be likely to win and still be a bad bet if the available price is too short.
Insufficient data, new fighters, cancelled bouts, or prices without enough edge are labelled as PASS/no edge instead of forced action.
FightAlpha is meant to be judged across cards through wins, losses, passes, odds, and staking discipline.
Full card picks
Review every matchup with fighter context, tested odds, public value/pass signals, model-pick discipline, and key stats in one place.
Jack Della Maddalena
18-3
Mixed Martial Arts · MMA vs Kickboxing · Striker
Carlos Prates
23-7
Beneil Dariush
23-7-1
Mixed Martial Arts · MMA vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Quillan Salkilld
11-1
Tai Tuivasa
15-9
Kickboxing vs Mixed Martial Arts
Louie Sutherland
10-5
Tim Elliott
22-13-1
Wrestling vs Wrestling
Steve Erceg
13-4
Cam Rowston
14-3
Boxing vs Boxing
Robert Bryczek
18-6
Jacob Malkoun
9-3
Mixed Martial Arts · MMA vs Wrestling · Freestyle
Gerald Meerschaert
37-21
Shamil Gaziev
14-2
Boxing vs Wrestling · Wrestler
Brando Pericic
6-1
Colby Thicknesse
8-1
Wrestling · Freestyle vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Vince Morales
16-10
Junior Tafa
6-5
Boxing vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Kevin Christian
9-3
Jonathan Micallef
9-1
Kickboxing vs Wrestling
Themba Gorimbo
14-6
Wes Schultz
8-3
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Unknown
Ben Johnston
N/A
Kody Steele
7-1
Kickboxing vs Mixed Martial Arts · MMA
Dom Mar Fan
9-2
More UFC pages
Compare upcoming previews and historical ledgers across tracked UFC cards.
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Open event pageEvent FAQ
Use this page as a structured preview, not a guarantee. MMA betting is risky and passes are expected.
FightAlpha publishes a full-card event hub with model picks, pass/no-edge calls, tested odds context, and fight-by-fight betting notes for the tracked matchups.
The odds table summarizes the tested odds context used for each matchup where available, followed by deeper fight-card sections.
Yes. Each event page covers the tracked card, including public picks or passes and registered allocation context where available.
FightAlpha uses model-driven probability, odds, matchup context, and pass/no-edge discipline. The page is informational and not a guarantee.
A pass means the tested odds, matchup uncertainty, or available data do not justify a published bet.
Only use FightAlpha if you are an adult in a legal betting jurisdiction. Never chase losses, never risk money you cannot afford to lose, and treat every pick as uncertain.