UFC matchup prediction
Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado prediction, odds and fight preview
FightAlpha's value read is Francisco Prado at the tested odds snapshot. The read is about price versus matchup profile, not certainty.
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Quick summary
Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado pick, odds and event context
UFC 327: Prochazka vs Ulberg • Kaseya Center, Miami, United States
Value at the tested price; not a guaranteed winner.
Market snapshot used for this page.
Compare against your available line.
Fighter comparison
Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado: key matchup signals
Green cells mark the stronger side for each measurable stat. Lower is better for strikes absorbed and age; higher is better for output, wrestling volume, defense, and reach.
| Signal | Charles Radtke | Francisco Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 12-5 | 12-5 |
| Recent form | W-W-L-W-L | L-L-L-L-W |
| Style | Boxing | Boxing |
| Strikes landed/min | 2.5 | 3.68 |
| Strikes absorbed/min | 2.45 | 4.31 |
| Takedown avg | 1.99 | 0.76 |
| Takedown defense | 100% | 40% |
| Age | N/A | N/A |
| Height | 5'9" / 175.3 cm | 5'10" / 177.8 cm |
| Reach | 72" / 182.9 cm | 69" / 175.3 cm |
| Weight | 170 lb / 77.1 kg | 170 lb / 77.1 kg |
Deeper matchup context
Recent form, damage, activity and schedule notes
A few extra signals to help you read the matchup beyond the headline stats: who has been active, who has been taking damage, and whether recent results came against a tougher or softer slate.
Recent results: Charles Radtke is 3-2 over the recent sample; Francisco Prado is 1-4 over the recent sample. Charles Radtke comes in on a 2-fight winning streak. Francisco Prado comes in on a 4-fight losing streak.
Time since last fight: Charles Radtke 16 days; Francisco Prado 16 days. A quick turnaround can mean sharpness or accumulated wear, while a longer break can mean rest or rust.
Charles Radtke has the cleaner recent significant strikes absorbed profile (44 vs 244 for Francisco Prado). Charles Radtke has the cleaner head strikes absorbed profile (9 vs 38.4 for Francisco Prado).
Charles Radtke projects as the fighter more likely to push grappling pressure, which can change how much of the fight plays out at range.
Francisco Prado appears to have faced the tougher recent schedule, while Charles Radtke's results may need a little more context. A tougher schedule can make recent losses look less alarming; a softer one can make streaks look cleaner than they really are.
Value read
Why FightAlpha leans Francisco Prado
FightAlpha looks for prices that appear better than the matchup profile suggests. Value read does not mean most likely winner. It means the tested price looks better than the matchup profile suggests.
FightAlpha leans Francisco Prado because the matchup shows the higher listed striking output (3.68 significant strikes per minute versus 2.5). It is a practical pricing read, not a claim that every major matchup signal points one way.
This is still thin enough to respect the other side. Charles Radtke's higher takedown volume and Charles Radtke's better takedown defense keep Charles Radtke live, which is why this stays a value read rather than a comfort pick.
FAQ
Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado prediction FAQ
Quick answers before using any matchup read responsibly.
Who is FightAlpha picking for Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado?
FightAlpha's public value read is Francisco Prado at the tested odds snapshot. This is not a guarantee or betting instruction.
What odds were used for Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado?
The tested odds snapshot is Charles Radtke N/A / N/A and Francisco Prado N/A / N/A. Lines move, so always compare with your own available price.
Why are FightAlpha matchup explanations data-first?
The model reads are built from data inputs, so the explanations stay grounded in measurable fight signals too. FightAlpha does not base picks on rumors, hype, sentiment, or personal feelings.
Are FightAlpha UFC predictions guaranteed?
No. MMA outcomes are uncertain and betting carries risk. Public reads can lose, and FightAlpha does not guarantee profit.