UFC predictions, odds and model picks
Main event
Settled Fight Alpha bets outcome: 4-6-1D on 11 bets, +$23.42 profit, 23.4% ROI on a $100 card.
Follow local laws and never bet where gambling is restricted or illegal.
FightAlpha reads and unit suggestions are informational only. Profit is never guaranteed.
A PASS or no-edge label is part of the system when the odds or data do not justify a bet.
Event hub
This event hub tracks FightAlpha model picks, tested odds, pass/no-edge calls, and full-card betting notes for every published matchup.
UFC odds and model picks
This event hub summarizes the full fight card with tested odds context, FightAlpha value/pass signals, and matchup links before the detailed breakdowns.
| # | Matchup | Odds context | FightAlpha read | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jiri Prochazka vs Carlos Ulberg | 1.91 | PASS / no edge | |
| 2 | Azamat Murzakanov vs Paulo Costa | 1.49 | Azamat Murzakanov | |
| 3 | Curtis Blaydes vs Josh Hokit | 2.02 | Josh Hokit | |
| 4 | Dominick Reyes vs Johnny Walker | 2.24 | Johnny Walker | |
| 5 | Nate Landwehr vs Cub Swanson | 1.95 | Cub Swanson | |
| 6 | Aaron Pico vs Patricio Pitbull | 3.45 | Patricio Pitbull | |
| 7 | Randy Brown vs Kevin Holland | 1.91 | Randy Brown | |
| 8 | Mateusz Gamrot vs Esteban Ribovics | 2.60 | Esteban Ribovics | |
| 9 | Tatiana Suarez vs Loopy Godinez | 1.65 | Tatiana Suarez | |
| 10 | Chris Padilla vs MarQuel Mederos | 2.30 | MarQuel Mederos | |
| 11 | Kelvin Gastelum vs Vicente Luque | 3.25 | Vicente Luque | |
| 12 | Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado | 2.45 | Francisco Prado |
Model picks methodology
The goal is not to predict every winner. The goal is to separate playable prices from passes before the card starts.
Each fight is reviewed through fighter history, style signals, recent performance, and red/blue corner context.
A fighter can be likely to win and still be a bad bet if the available price is too short.
Insufficient data, new fighters, cancelled bouts, or prices without enough edge are labelled as PASS/no edge instead of forced action.
FightAlpha is meant to be judged across cards through wins, losses, passes, odds, and staking discipline.
Full card picks
Review every matchup with fighter context, tested odds, public value/pass signals, model-pick discipline, and key stats in one place.
Jiri Prochazka
32-6-1
Karate · Karate vs Kickboxing · Kickboxer
Carlos Ulberg
15-1
Azamat Murzakanov
16-1
Mixed Martial Arts · MMA vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Paulo Costa
16-4
Curtis Blaydes
19-6
Mixed Martial Arts · MMA vs Wrestling
Josh Hokit
9-0
Dominick Reyes
16-5
Kickboxing · Kickboxer vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Johnny Walker
22-10
Nate Landwehr
18-8
Boxing vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu · Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Cub Swanson
31-14
Aaron Pico
14-5
Boxing · Boxing vs Wrestling
Patricio Pitbull
37-9
Randy Brown
20-8
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Kevin Holland
29-15
Mateusz Gamrot
26-4
Wrestling vs Kickboxing · Striker
Esteban Ribovics
15-3
Tatiana Suarez
13-1
Wrestling vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Loopy Godinez
14-6
Chris Padilla
17-6-1
Boxing vs Mixed Martial Arts
MarQuel Mederos
11-1-1
Kelvin Gastelum
21-11
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Vicente Luque
24-12-1
Charles Radtke
12-5
Boxing vs Boxing
Francisco Prado
12-5
More UFC pages
Compare upcoming previews and historical ledgers across tracked UFC cards.
Allen vs Costa • 2026-05-16
Open event pageChimaev vs Strickland • 2026-05-09
Open event pageDella Maddalena vs Prates • 2026-05-02
Open event pageSterling vs Zalal
Open event pageEvent FAQ
Use this page as a structured preview, not a guarantee. MMA betting is risky and passes are expected.
FightAlpha publishes a full-card event hub with model picks, pass/no-edge calls, tested odds context, and fight-by-fight betting notes for the tracked matchups.
The odds table summarizes the tested odds context used for each matchup where available, followed by deeper fight-card sections.
Yes. Each event page covers the tracked card, including public picks or passes and registered allocation context where available.
FightAlpha uses model-driven probability, odds, matchup context, and pass/no-edge discipline. The page is informational and not a guarantee.
A pass means the tested odds, matchup uncertainty, or available data do not justify a published bet.
Only use FightAlpha if you are an adult in a legal betting jurisdiction. Never chase losses, never risk money you cannot afford to lose, and treat every pick as uncertain.