UFC matchup prediction
Bruno Silva vs Edgar Chairez prediction, odds and fight preview
FightAlpha's value read is Bruno Silva at the tested odds snapshot. The read is about price versus matchup profile, not certainty.
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Quick summary
Bruno Silva vs Edgar Chairez pick, odds and event context
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs Bonfim • Meta APEX, Las Vegas, United States
Value at the tested price; not a guaranteed winner.
Market snapshot used for this page.
Compare against your available line.
Fighter comparison
Bruno Silva vs Edgar Chairez: key matchup signals
Green cells mark the stronger side for each measurable stat. Lower is better for strikes absorbed and age; higher is better for output, wrestling volume, defense, and reach.
| Signal | Bruno Silva | Edgar Chairez |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 15-8-2 | 13-6-0 |
| Recent form | L-W-L-L-L | W-W-L-W-NC |
| Style | Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu / Orthodox | Mixed Martial Arts / Orthodox |
| Strikes landed/min | 3.95 | 3.65 |
| Strikes absorbed/min | 4.69 | 4.75 |
| Takedown avg | 2.01 | 0 |
| Takedown defense | 72% | 38% |
| Age | 36 | 30 |
| Height | 5'4" / 162.6 cm | 5'7" / 170.2 cm |
| Reach | 65" / 165.1 cm | 71" / 180.3 cm |
| Weight | 125 lb / 56.7 kg | 125 lb / 56.7 kg |
Deeper matchup context
Recent form, damage, activity and schedule notes
A few extra signals to help you read the matchup beyond the headline stats: who has been active, who has been taking damage, and whether recent results came against a tougher or softer slate.
Recent results: Bruno Silva is 1-4 over the recent sample; Edgar Chairez is 3-1 over the recent sample. Bruno Silva comes in on a 1-fight losing streak. Edgar Chairez comes in on a 2-fight winning streak.
Time since last fight: Bruno Silva 84 days; Edgar Chairez 98 days. A quick turnaround can mean sharpness or accumulated wear, while a longer break can mean rest or rust.
Edgar Chairez has the cleaner recent significant strikes absorbed profile (128 vs 267 for Bruno Silva). Edgar Chairez has the cleaner head strikes absorbed profile (24.6 vs 33.3 for Bruno Silva).
Bruno Silva projects as the fighter more likely to push grappling pressure, which can change how much of the fight plays out at range.
Bruno Silva appears to have faced the tougher recent schedule, while Edgar Chairez's results may need a little more context. A tougher schedule can make recent losses look less alarming; a softer one can make streaks look cleaner than they really are.
Value read
Why FightAlpha leans Bruno Silva
FightAlpha looks for prices that appear better than the matchup profile suggests. That can mean backing a fighter near even money, taking an underdog, or passing when the number is wrong.
The lean toward Bruno Silva is built from a cluster of small edges: a clearer takedown-volume edge (2.01 per fight versus 0), the better takedown-defense number (72% versus 38%), the higher listed striking output (3.95 significant strikes per minute versus 3.65), and a cleaner listed significant-strike absorption profile. None of those signals settles the fight by itself, but together they make the tested price playable.
The read is practical rather than dramatic: Bruno Silva has enough support at the tested number, while Edgar Chairez still has credible ways to make it uncomfortable.
FAQ
Bruno Silva vs Edgar Chairez prediction FAQ
Quick answers before using any matchup read responsibly.
Who is FightAlpha picking for Bruno Silva vs Edgar Chairez?
FightAlpha's public value read is Bruno Silva at the tested odds snapshot. This is not a guarantee or betting instruction.
What odds were used for Bruno Silva vs Edgar Chairez?
The tested odds snapshot is Bruno Silva 1.77 / -130 and Edgar Chairez 2.10 / +110. Lines move, so always compare with your own available price.
Why are FightAlpha matchup explanations data-first?
The model reads are built from data inputs, so the explanations stay grounded in measurable fight signals too. FightAlpha does not base picks on rumors, hype, sentiment, or personal feelings.
Are FightAlpha UFC predictions guaranteed?
No. MMA outcomes are uncertain and betting carries risk. Public reads can lose, and FightAlpha does not guarantee profit.