UFC matchup prediction
Daniil Donchenko vs Theodor Berggren prediction, odds and fight preview
FightAlpha's pass read is PASS · No edge at the tested odds snapshot. No edge means the tested price does not create enough value for a public bet.
Follow local laws and never bet where gambling is restricted or illegal.
The aim is disciplined price-vs-probability thinking, not certainty.
Tested odds are a snapshot, not a live sportsbook feed.
Quick summary
Daniil Donchenko vs Theodor Berggren pick, odds and event context
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Torres • National Gymnastics Arena, Baku, Azerbaijan
No edge means the tested price does not create enough value for a public bet.
Market snapshot used for this page.
Compare against your available line.
Fighter comparison
Daniil Donchenko vs Theodor Berggren: key matchup signals
Green cells mark the stronger side for each measurable stat. Lower is better for strikes absorbed and age; higher is better for output, wrestling volume, defense, and reach.
| Signal | Daniil Donchenko | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 14-2-0 | 8-3-0 |
| Recent form | W-W | N/A |
| Style | Kickboxing / Orthodox | Unknown / Switch |
| Strikes landed/min | 7.15 | N/A |
| Strikes absorbed/min | 2.57 | N/A |
| Takedown avg | 0.77 | N/A |
| Takedown defense | 75% | N/A |
| Age | 24 | 26 |
| Height | 5'11" / 180.3 cm | 6'0" / 183 cm |
| Reach | 71" / 180.3 cm | 72" / 182.9 cm |
| Weight | 170 lb / 77.1 kg | 170 lb / 77 kg |
Deeper matchup context
Recent form, damage, activity and schedule notes
A few extra signals to help you read the matchup beyond the headline stats: who has been active, who has been taking damage, and whether recent results came against a tougher or softer slate.
Recent results: Daniil Donchenko is 2-0 over the recent sample; Theodor Berggren is not enough recent UFC results to summarize. Daniil Donchenko comes in on a 2-fight winning streak. Theodor Berggren's recent UFC form is still thin in the available record.
Time since last fight: Daniil Donchenko 140 days; Theodor Berggren layoff data unavailable. A quick turnaround can mean sharpness or accumulated wear, while a longer break can mean rest or rust.
There is not enough reliable recent significant strikes absorbed data to lean on it heavily here. There is not enough reliable head strikes absorbed data to lean on it heavily here.
The pressure profile is incomplete, so the visible striking and wrestling stats matter more here.
There is not enough schedule context to read too much into the recent records alone. A tougher schedule can make recent losses look less alarming; a softer one can make streaks look cleaner than they really are.
Pass read
Why FightAlpha passes
FightAlpha can still show useful context, but it will not force a pick when the available data is too thin or the price does not create a clear edge.
FightAlpha is passing because the tested price does not create a clean enough value edge from the available matchup profile.
That does not mean either fighter cannot win; it means the number and matchup signals do not justify a public value side here.
FAQ
Daniil Donchenko vs Theodor Berggren prediction FAQ
Quick answers before using any matchup read responsibly.
Who is FightAlpha picking for Daniil Donchenko vs Theodor Berggren?
No edge means the tested price does not create enough value for a public bet.
What odds were used for Daniil Donchenko vs Theodor Berggren?
The tested odds snapshot is Daniil Donchenko 1.19 / -526 and Theodor Berggren 5.20 / +420. Lines move, so always compare with your own available price.
Why are FightAlpha matchup explanations data-first?
The model reads are built from data inputs, so the explanations stay grounded in measurable fight signals too. FightAlpha does not base picks on rumors, hype, sentiment, or personal feelings.
Are FightAlpha UFC predictions guaranteed?
No. MMA outcomes are uncertain and betting carries risk. Public reads can lose, and FightAlpha does not guarantee profit.