UFC predictions, odds and model picks
Main event
Settled Fight Alpha bets outcome: 8-4 on 12 bets, +$55.44 profit, 55.4% ROI on a $100 card.
Follow local laws and never bet where gambling is restricted or illegal.
FightAlpha reads and unit suggestions are informational only. Profit is never guaranteed.
A PASS or no-edge label is part of the system when the odds or data do not justify a bet.
Event hub
This event hub tracks FightAlpha model picks, tested odds, pass/no-edge calls, and full-card betting notes for every published matchup.
UFC odds and model picks
This event hub summarizes the full fight card with tested odds context, FightAlpha value/pass signals, and matchup links before the detailed breakdowns.
| # | Matchup | Odds context | FightAlpha read | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aljamain Sterling vs Youssef Zalal | 2.18 | Aljamain Sterling | |
| 2 | Rafa Garcia vs Alexander Hernandez | 2.07 | Rafa Garcia | |
| 3 | Davey Grant vs Adrian Luna Martinetti | 2.05 | Adrian Luna Martinetti | |
| 4 | Montel Jackson vs Raoni Barcelos | 2.45 | Raoni Barcelos | |
| 5 | Norma Dumont vs Joselyne Edwards | 2.80 | Joselyne Edwards | |
| 6 | Marcus Buchecha vs Ryan Spann | 2.22 | Ryan Spann | |
| 7 | Rodolfo Vieira vs Eric McConico | 3.05 | Eric McConico | |
| 8 | Jackson McVey vs Sedriques Dumas | 1.52 | Jackson McVey | |
| 9 | Mayra Bueno Silva vs Michelle Montague | 3.75 | Mayra Bueno Silva | |
| 10 | Jafel Filho vs Cody Durden | 5.90 | Cody Durden | |
| 11 | Talita Alencar vs Julia Polastri | 1.38 | Julia Polastri | |
| 12 | Max Griffin vs Victor Valenzuela | 2.22 | PASS / no edge | |
| 13 | Francis Marshall vs Lucas Brennan | 5.00 | Lucas Brennan |
Model picks methodology
The goal is not to predict every winner. The goal is to separate playable prices from passes before the card starts.
Each fight is reviewed through fighter history, style signals, recent performance, and red/blue corner context.
A fighter can be likely to win and still be a bad bet if the available price is too short.
Insufficient data, new fighters, cancelled bouts, or prices without enough edge are labelled as PASS/no edge instead of forced action.
FightAlpha is meant to be judged across cards through wins, losses, passes, odds, and staking discipline.
Full card picks
Review every matchup with fighter context, tested odds, public value/pass signals, model-pick discipline, and key stats in one place.
Aljamain Sterling
26-5
Kickboxing · Kickboxer vs Kickboxing
Youssef Zalal
18-6-1
Rafa Garcia
19-4
Wrestling vs Mixed Martial Arts · MMA
Alexander Hernandez
18-9
Davey Grant
18-8
Mixed Martial Arts · MMA vs Wrestling
Adrian Luna Martinetti
17-2
Montel Jackson
15-4
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Raoni Barcelos
22-5
Norma Dumont
13-3
Sanda vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Joselyne Edwards
18-6
Marcus Buchecha
5-3-1
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Ryan Spann
24-11
Rodolfo Vieira
11-5
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Wrestling · Freestyle
Eric McConico
11-4-1
Jackson McVey
7-2
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu · Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Mixed Martial Arts
Sedriques Dumas
10-5
Mayra Bueno Silva
10-7-1
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Wrestling
Michelle Montague
8-0
Jafel Filho
17-5
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu · Grappler vs Kickboxing · Striker
Cody Durden
18-10-1
Talita Alencar
8-1-1
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Kickboxing
Julia Polastri
14-6
Max Griffin
20-13
Kickboxing vs Wrestling
Victor Valenzuela
14-4
Francis Marshall
10-3
Wrestling · Freestyle vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Lucas Brennan
11-3
More UFC pages
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Open event pageEvent FAQ
Use this page as a structured preview, not a guarantee. MMA betting is risky and passes are expected.
FightAlpha publishes a full-card event hub with model picks, pass/no-edge calls, tested odds context, and fight-by-fight betting notes for the tracked matchups.
The odds table summarizes the tested odds context used for each matchup where available, followed by deeper fight-card sections.
Yes. Each event page covers the tracked card, including public picks or passes and registered allocation context where available.
FightAlpha uses model-driven probability, odds, matchup context, and pass/no-edge discipline. The page is informational and not a guarantee.
A pass means the tested odds, matchup uncertainty, or available data do not justify a published bet.
Only use FightAlpha if you are an adult in a legal betting jurisdiction. Never chase losses, never risk money you cannot afford to lose, and treat every pick as uncertain.