Movsar Evloev
Movsar Evloev

UFC predictions, odds and model picks

Main event

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy predictions, odds and full card picks

Settled Fight Alpha bets outcome: 10-2-1D on 13 bets, +$26.74 profit, 26.7% ROI on a $100 card.

Date
2026-03-21
Your local start
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Location
The O2, London, United Kingdom
Status
Graded
Tracked fights
14
Fight Alpha Bets Outcome
10-2-1D · +$26.74 · 26.7% ROI
Lerone Murphy
Lerone Murphy
18+ onlyAdults in legal betting jurisdictions only.

Follow local laws and never bet where gambling is restricted or illegal.

No guaranteesPredictions are uncertain.

FightAlpha reads and unit suggestions are informational only. Profit is never guaranteed.

Method noteValue beats forced action.

A PASS or no-edge label is part of the system when the odds or data do not justify a bet.

Event hub

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy predictions and model picks

This event hub tracks FightAlpha model picks, tested odds, pass/no-edge calls, and full-card betting notes for every published matchup.

UFC odds and model picks

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy odds, predictions and full card picks

This event hub summarizes the full fight card with tested odds context, FightAlpha value/pass signals, and matchup links before the detailed breakdowns.

#MatchupOdds contextFightAlpha readPreview
1 Movsar Evloev vs Lerone Murphy 1.42 Movsar Evloev
2 Luke Riley vs Michael Aswell Jr. 1.36 Luke Riley
3 Michael Page vs Sam Patterson 1.55 Michael Page
4 Iwo Baraniewski vs Austen Lane 1.15 Iwo Baraniewski
5 Christian Leroy Duncan vs Roman Dolidze 1.22 Christian Leroy Duncan
6 Kurtis Campbell vs Danny Silva 1.45 Kurtis Campbell
7 Mason Jones vs Axel Sola 1.83 Mason Jones
8 Losene Keita vs Nathaniel Wood 1.45 Losene Keita
9 Mario Pinto vs Felipe Franco 1.11 PASS / no edge
10 Mantas Kondratavicius vs Antonio Trocoli 1.12 Mantas Kondratavicius
11 Louie Sutherland vs Brando Pericic 1.36 Brando Pericic
12 Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Shem Rock 1.75 Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
13 Shanelle Dyer vs Ravena Oliveira 1.22 Shanelle Dyer
14 Melissa Mullins vs Luana Carolina 2.05 Melissa Mullins

Model picks methodology

How FightAlpha builds UFC model picks for this card

The goal is not to predict every winner. The goal is to separate playable prices from passes before the card starts.

Matchup first

Each fight is reviewed through fighter history, style signals, recent performance, and red/blue corner context.

Odds decide value

A fighter can be likely to win and still be a bad bet if the available price is too short.

Passes are part of the system

Insufficient data, new fighters, cancelled bouts, or prices without enough edge are labelled as PASS/no edge instead of forced action.

Ledger over hype

FightAlpha is meant to be judged across cards through wins, losses, passes, odds, and staking discipline.

Full card picks

UFC London fight-by-fight UFC predictions and betting preview

Review every matchup with fighter context, tested odds, public value/pass signals, model-pick discipline, and key stats in one place.

Fight 1 Settled win
Movsar Evloev Movsar Evloev 20-0

Movsar Evloev vs Lerone Murphy

Wrestling vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

Lerone Murphy Lerone Murphy 17-1-1
Model pick
Movsar Evloev
Pick result
Won
Fight result
Pending
Tested odds
1.42
Full-card stake
$1.50
Profit
+$0.63
Fight 2 Settled win
Luke Riley Luke Riley 13-0

Luke Riley vs Michael Aswell Jr.

Wrestling vs Boxing

Michael Aswell Jr. Michael Aswell Jr. 11-4
Model pick
Luke Riley
Pick result
Won
Fight result
Pending
Tested odds
1.36
Full-card stake
$9.33
Profit
+$3.36
Fight 3 Settled win
Michael Page Michael Page 25-3

Michael Page vs Sam Patterson

Kickboxing vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

Sam Patterson Sam Patterson 14-3-1
Model pick
Michael Page
Pick result
Won
Fight result
Pending
Tested odds
1.55
Full-card stake
$5.98
Profit
+$3.29
Fight 4 Settled win
Iwo Baraniewski Iwo Baraniewski 8-0

Iwo Baraniewski vs Austen Lane

Judo · Judo vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

Austen Lane Austen Lane 13-8
Model pick
Iwo Baraniewski
Pick result
Won
Fight result
Pending
Tested odds
1.15
Full-card stake
$14.80
Profit
+$2.22
Fight 5 Settled win
Christian Leroy Duncan Christian Leroy Duncan 14-2

Christian Leroy Duncan vs Roman Dolidze

Mixed Martial Arts · MMA vs Sambo

Roman Dolidze Roman Dolidze 15-5
Model pick
Christian Leroy Duncan
Pick result
Won
Fight result
Pending
Tested odds
1.22
Full-card stake
$8.57
Profit
+$1.89
Fight 6 Settled loss
Kurtis Campbell Kurtis Campbell 8-1

Kurtis Campbell vs Danny Silva

Wrestling vs Boxing · Boxing

Danny Silva Danny Silva 11-2
Model pick
Kurtis Campbell
Pick result
Lost
Fight result
Pending
Tested odds
1.45
Full-card stake
$2.15
Profit
-$2.15
Fight 7 Settled win
Mason Jones Mason Jones 18-2

Mason Jones vs Axel Sola

Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Karate · Karate

Axel Sola Axel Sola 11-1-1
Model pick
Mason Jones
Pick result
Won
Fight result
Pending
Tested odds
1.83
Full-card stake
$8.36
Profit
+$6.94
Fight 8 Settled loss
Losene Keita Losene Keita 16-2

Losene Keita vs Nathaniel Wood

Kickboxing vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

Nathaniel Wood Nathaniel Wood 23-6
Model pick
Losene Keita
Pick result
Lost
Fight result
Pending
Tested odds
1.45
Full-card stake
$0.84
Profit
-$0.84
Fight 9 Settled pass
Mario Pinto Mario Pinto 12-0

Mario Pinto vs Felipe Franco

Boxing vs Mixed Martial Arts · MMA

Felipe Franco Felipe Franco 10-2
Model pick
Pass - no edge at tested odds
Pick result
PASS / no bet
Fight result
Pending
Tested odds
1.11
Full-card stake
PASS / no stake
Profit
$0.00
Fight 10 Settled win
Mantas Kondratavicius Mantas Kondratavicius 9-1

Mantas Kondratavicius vs Antonio Trocoli

Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Muay Thai · Muay Thai

Antonio Trocoli Antonio Trocoli 12-7
Model pick
Mantas Kondratavicius
Pick result
Won
Fight result
Pending
Tested odds
1.12
Full-card stake
$14.53
Profit
+$1.74
Fight 11 Settled win
Louie Sutherland Louie Sutherland 10-5

Louie Sutherland vs Brando Pericic

Mixed Martial Arts vs Wrestling · Wrestler

Brando Pericic Brando Pericic 6-1
Model pick
Brando Pericic
Pick result
Won
Fight result
Pending
Tested odds
1.36
Full-card stake
$15.21
Profit
+$5.47
Fight 12 Settled win
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 16-4

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Shem Rock

Mixed Martial Arts · MMA vs Wrestling

Shem Rock Shem Rock 12-3-1
Model pick
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
Pick result
Won
Fight result
Pending
Tested odds
1.75
Full-card stake
$1.93
Profit
+$1.45
Fight 13 Settled win
Shanelle Dyer Shanelle Dyer 7-1

Shanelle Dyer vs Ravena Oliveira

Boxing vs Mixed Martial Arts

Ravena Oliveira Ravena Oliveira 7-4-1
Model pick
Shanelle Dyer
Pick result
Won
Fight result
Pending
Tested odds
1.22
Full-card stake
$12.49
Profit
+$2.75
Fight 14 Settled push
Melissa Mullins Melissa Mullins 7-2

Melissa Mullins vs Luana Carolina

Mixed Martial Arts vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

Luana Carolina Luana Carolina 11-5
Model pick
Melissa Mullins
Pick result
Push
Fight result
Pending
Tested odds
2.05
Full-card stake
$4.33
Profit
$0.00

More UFC pages

More FightAlpha UFC prediction pages

Compare upcoming previews and historical ledgers across tracked UFC cards.

Event FAQ

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy predictions FAQ

Use this page as a structured preview, not a guarantee. MMA betting is risky and passes are expected.

What are the UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy predictions?

FightAlpha publishes a full-card event hub with model picks, pass/no-edge calls, tested odds context, and fight-by-fight betting notes for the tracked matchups.

Where can I see UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy odds?

The odds table summarizes the tested odds context used for each matchup where available, followed by deeper fight-card sections.

Does FightAlpha publish full card UFC picks?

Yes. Each event page covers the tracked card, including public picks or passes and registered allocation context where available.

Are these UFC model picks or manual picks?

FightAlpha uses model-driven probability, odds, matchup context, and pass/no-edge discipline. The page is informational and not a guarantee.

Why is a fight marked PASS or no edge?

A pass means the tested odds, matchup uncertainty, or available data do not justify a published bet.

How should I use this responsibly?

Only use FightAlpha if you are an adult in a legal betting jurisdiction. Never chase losses, never risk money you cannot afford to lose, and treat every pick as uncertain.