UFC predictions, odds and model picks
Main event
Settled Fight Alpha bets outcome: 10-2-1D on 13 bets, +$26.74 profit, 26.7% ROI on a $100 card.
Follow local laws and never bet where gambling is restricted or illegal.
FightAlpha reads and unit suggestions are informational only. Profit is never guaranteed.
A PASS or no-edge label is part of the system when the odds or data do not justify a bet.
Event hub
This event hub tracks FightAlpha model picks, tested odds, pass/no-edge calls, and full-card betting notes for every published matchup.
UFC odds and model picks
This event hub summarizes the full fight card with tested odds context, FightAlpha value/pass signals, and matchup links before the detailed breakdowns.
| # | Matchup | Odds context | FightAlpha read | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Movsar Evloev vs Lerone Murphy | 1.42 | Movsar Evloev | |
| 2 | Luke Riley vs Michael Aswell Jr. | 1.36 | Luke Riley | |
| 3 | Michael Page vs Sam Patterson | 1.55 | Michael Page | |
| 4 | Iwo Baraniewski vs Austen Lane | 1.15 | Iwo Baraniewski | |
| 5 | Christian Leroy Duncan vs Roman Dolidze | 1.22 | Christian Leroy Duncan | |
| 6 | Kurtis Campbell vs Danny Silva | 1.45 | Kurtis Campbell | |
| 7 | Mason Jones vs Axel Sola | 1.83 | Mason Jones | |
| 8 | Losene Keita vs Nathaniel Wood | 1.45 | Losene Keita | |
| 9 | Mario Pinto vs Felipe Franco | 1.11 | PASS / no edge | |
| 10 | Mantas Kondratavicius vs Antonio Trocoli | 1.12 | Mantas Kondratavicius | |
| 11 | Louie Sutherland vs Brando Pericic | 1.36 | Brando Pericic | |
| 12 | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Shem Rock | 1.75 | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | |
| 13 | Shanelle Dyer vs Ravena Oliveira | 1.22 | Shanelle Dyer | |
| 14 | Melissa Mullins vs Luana Carolina | 2.05 | Melissa Mullins |
Model picks methodology
The goal is not to predict every winner. The goal is to separate playable prices from passes before the card starts.
Each fight is reviewed through fighter history, style signals, recent performance, and red/blue corner context.
A fighter can be likely to win and still be a bad bet if the available price is too short.
Insufficient data, new fighters, cancelled bouts, or prices without enough edge are labelled as PASS/no edge instead of forced action.
FightAlpha is meant to be judged across cards through wins, losses, passes, odds, and staking discipline.
Full card picks
Review every matchup with fighter context, tested odds, public value/pass signals, model-pick discipline, and key stats in one place.
Movsar Evloev
20-0
Wrestling vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Lerone Murphy
17-1-1
Luke Riley
13-0
Wrestling vs Boxing
Michael Aswell Jr.
11-4
Michael Page
25-3
Kickboxing vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Sam Patterson
14-3-1
Iwo Baraniewski
8-0
Judo · Judo vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Austen Lane
13-8
Christian Leroy Duncan
14-2
Mixed Martial Arts · MMA vs Sambo
Roman Dolidze
15-5
Kurtis Campbell
8-1
Wrestling vs Boxing · Boxing
Danny Silva
11-2
Mason Jones
18-2
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Karate · Karate
Axel Sola
11-1-1
Losene Keita
16-2
Kickboxing vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Nathaniel Wood
23-6
Mario Pinto
12-0
Boxing vs Mixed Martial Arts · MMA
Felipe Franco
10-2
Mantas Kondratavicius
9-1
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu vs Muay Thai · Muay Thai
Antonio Trocoli
12-7
Louie Sutherland
10-5
Mixed Martial Arts vs Wrestling · Wrestler
Brando Pericic
6-1
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
16-4
Mixed Martial Arts · MMA vs Wrestling
Shem Rock
12-3-1
Shanelle Dyer
7-1
Boxing vs Mixed Martial Arts
Ravena Oliveira
7-4-1
Melissa Mullins
7-2
Mixed Martial Arts vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
Luana Carolina
11-5
More UFC pages
Compare upcoming previews and historical ledgers across tracked UFC cards.
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Open event pageSterling vs Zalal
Open event pageEvent FAQ
Use this page as a structured preview, not a guarantee. MMA betting is risky and passes are expected.
FightAlpha publishes a full-card event hub with model picks, pass/no-edge calls, tested odds context, and fight-by-fight betting notes for the tracked matchups.
The odds table summarizes the tested odds context used for each matchup where available, followed by deeper fight-card sections.
Yes. Each event page covers the tracked card, including public picks or passes and registered allocation context where available.
FightAlpha uses model-driven probability, odds, matchup context, and pass/no-edge discipline. The page is informational and not a guarantee.
A pass means the tested odds, matchup uncertainty, or available data do not justify a published bet.
Only use FightAlpha if you are an adult in a legal betting jurisdiction. Never chase losses, never risk money you cannot afford to lose, and treat every pick as uncertain.