UFC predictions, odds and model picks

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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa results, odds and full-card ledger

Settled Fight Alpha bets outcome: 1-8 on 9 bets, -$89.79 profit, -89.8% ROI on a $100 card.

Date: 2026-05-16
Your local start: Detecting local time…
Location: Meta APEX, Las Vegas, United States
Status: Graded
Tracked fights: 12
Fight Alpha Bets Outcome: 1-8 · -$89.79 · -89.8% ROI

View full card picks Official UFC event

18+ onlyAdults in legal betting jurisdictions only.

Follow local laws and never bet where gambling is restricted or illegal.

No guaranteesPredictions are uncertain.

FightAlpha reads and unit suggestions are informational only. Profit is never guaranteed.

Method noteValue beats forced action.

A PASS or no-edge label is part of the system when the odds or data do not justify a bet.

Tracked resultsPast cards stay visible after settlement.

PASS calls visibleNo-edge spots are part of the read.

No guaranteesUse the page as context, not certainty.

Full card picks

UFC Fight Night Allen vs Costa fight-by-fight UFC predictions and betting preview

Review every matchup with fighter context, tested odds, public value/PASS signals, model-pick discipline, and key stats in one place. Row labels stay quiet; use the access panel below if you want allocation or custom odds.

Odds format

Fight 1 Pick lost

Arnold Allen -185 20-4-0

Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa

Mixed Martial Arts · Southpaw vs Mixed Martial Arts · Southpaw

FightAlpha read Melquizael Costa -$5.69

Matchup breakdown

Melquizael Costa +150 26-7-0

Details

Fight result: Arnold Allen won
Tested oddsi: +150
Full-card stakei: $5.69
Profit: -$5.69

Fight 2 Pick lost

Dooho Choi +115 16-4-1

Dooho Choi vs Daniel Santos

Boxing · Orthodox vs Muay Thai · Orthodox

FightAlpha read Daniel Santos -$10.78

Matchup breakdown

Daniel Santos -143 14-2-0

Details

Fight result: Dooho Choi won
Tested oddsi: -143
Full-card stakei: $10.78
Profit: -$10.78

Fight 3 No edgei

Modestas Bukauskas -132 19-7-0

Modestas Bukauskas vs Rodolfo Bellato

Kickboxing · Switch vs Mixed Martial Arts · Orthodox

FightAlpha read No edge $0.00

Matchup breakdown

Rodolfo Bellato +110 13-3-1

Details

Fight result: Final
Tested oddsi: -132/+110
Full-card stakei: PASS / no stake
Profit: $0.00

Fight 4 Pick lost

Timmy Cuamba +125 10-3-0

Timmy Cuamba vs Benardo Sopaj

Mixed Martial Arts · Orthodox vs Mixed Martial Arts · Orthodox

FightAlpha read Timmy Cuamba -$8.18

Matchup breakdown

Benardo Sopaj -154 12-3-0

Details

Fight result: Benardo Sopaj won
Tested oddsi: +125
Full-card stakei: $8.18
Profit: -$8.18

Fight 5 Pick lost

Tuco Tokkos +165 11-5-0

Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan

Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu · Orthodox vs Boxing · Orthodox

FightAlpha read Tuco Tokkos -$15.57

Matchup breakdown

Ivan Erslan -204 14-6-0

Details

Fight result: Ivan Erslan won
Tested oddsi: +165
Full-card stakei: $15.57
Profit: -$15.57

Fight 6 Pick lost

Ketlen Vieira +135 15-5-0

Ketlen Vieira vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Judo · Orthodox vs Kickboxing · Orthodox

FightAlpha read Jacqueline Cavalcanti -$12.67

Matchup breakdown

Jacqueline Cavalcanti -167 10-1-0

Details

Fight result: Ketlen Vieira won
Tested oddsi: -167
Full-card stakei: $12.67
Profit: -$12.67

Fight 7 Pick lost

Cody Brundage +165 11-9-1

Cody Brundage vs Andre Petroski

Wrestling · Orthodox vs Mixed Martial Arts · Switch

FightAlpha read Andre Petroski -$8.28

Matchup breakdown

Andre Petroski -208 13-6-0

Details

Fight result: Cody Brundage won
Tested oddsi: -208
Full-card stakei: $8.28
Profit: -$8.28

Fight 8 Pick won

Alice Ardelean -182 11-7-0

Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana

Kickboxing · Orthodox vs Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu · Orthodox

FightAlpha read Alice Ardelean +$3.62

Matchup breakdown

Polyana Viana +150 13-8-0

Details

Fight result: Alice Ardelean won
Tested oddsi: -182
Full-card stakei: $6.59
Profit: +$3.62

Fight 9 Pick lost

Daniel Barez -111 17-7-0

Daniel Barez vs Luis Gurule

Mixed Martial Arts · Orthodox vs Wrestling · Orthodox

FightAlpha read Daniel Barez -$12.08

Matchup breakdown

Luis Gurule -110 10-3-0

Details

Fight result: Luis Gurule won
Tested oddsi: -111
Full-card stakei: $12.08
Profit: -$12.08

Fight 10 Pick lost

Shauna Bannon +170 7-2-0

Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari

Mixed Martial Arts · Switch vs Mixed Martial Arts · Orthodox

FightAlpha read Shauna Bannon -$20.16

Matchup breakdown

Nicolle Caliari -208 8-4-0

Details

Fight result: Nicolle Caliari won
Tested oddsi: +170
Full-card stakei: $20.16
Profit: -$20.16

Fight 11 No Datai

Malcolm Wellmaker Odds — 10-1-0

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz

Boxing · Switch vs Limited public data

FightAlpha read No Data $0.00

Matchup breakdown

Juan Diaz Odds — Record TBA

Details

Fight result: Final
Tested oddsi: N/A
Full-card stakei: PASS / no stake
Profit: $0.00

Fight 12 No Datai

Trey Ogden Odds — 18-7-0

Trey Ogden vs Tommy Gantt

Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu · Orthodox vs Limited public data

FightAlpha read No Data $0.00

Matchup breakdown

Tommy Gantt Odds — Record TBA

Details

Fight result: Final
Tested oddsi: N/A
Full-card stakei: PASS / no stake
Profit: $0.00

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Event FAQ

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa predictions FAQ

Use this page as a structured preview, not a guarantee. MMA betting is risky and passes are expected.

What are the UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa predictions?

FightAlpha publishes a full-card event hub with model picks, pass/no-edge calls, tested odds context, and fight-by-fight betting notes for the tracked matchups.

Where can I see UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa odds?

Each fight card below includes the tested odds context for that matchup alongside the FightAlpha value or pass read.

Does FightAlpha publish full card UFC picks?

Yes. Each event page covers the tracked card, including public picks or passes and registered allocation context where available.

Are these UFC model picks or manual picks?

FightAlpha uses model-driven probability, odds, matchup context, and pass/no-edge discipline. The page is informational and not a guarantee.

Why is a fight marked PASS or no edge?

A pass means the tested odds, matchup uncertainty, or available data do not justify a published bet.

How should I use this responsibly?

Only use FightAlpha if you are an adult in a legal betting jurisdiction. Never chase losses, never risk money you cannot afford to lose, and treat every pick as uncertain.